Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.
Identifieur interne : 001553 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001552; suivant : 001554Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.
Auteurs : Nick Scott ; Anna Palmer ; Dominic Delport ; Romesh Abeysuriya ; Robyn M. Stuart [Danemark] ; Cliff C. Kerr [États-Unis] ; Dina Mistry [États-Unis] ; Daniel J. Klein [États-Unis] ; Rachel Sacks-Davis ; Katie Heath ; Samuel W. Hainsworth ; Alisa Pedrana ; Mark Stoove ; David Wilson ; Margaret E. HellardSource :
- The Medical journal of Australia [ 1326-5377 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
To assess the risks associated with relaxing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related physical distancing restrictions and lockdown policies during a period of low viral transmission.
DESIGN
Network-based viral transmission risks in households, schools, workplaces, and a variety of community spaces and activities were simulated in an agent-based model, Covasim.
SETTING
The model was calibrated for a baseline scenario reflecting the epidemiological and policy environment in Victoria during March-May 2020, a period of low community viral transmission.
INTERVENTION
Policy changes for easing COVID-19-related restrictions from May 2020 were simulated in the context of interventions that included testing, contact tracing (including with a smartphone app), and quarantine.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE
Increase in detected COVID-19 cases following relaxation of restrictions.
RESULTS
Policy changes that facilitate contact of individuals with large numbers of unknown people (eg, opening bars, increased public transport use) were associated with the greatest risk of COVID-19 case numbers increasing; changes leading to smaller, structured gatherings with known contacts (eg, small social gatherings, opening schools) were associated with lower risks. In our model, the rise in case numbers following some policy changes was notable only two months after their implementation.
CONCLUSIONS
Removing several COVID-19-related restrictions within a short period of time should be undertaken with care, as the consequences may not be apparent for more than two months. Our findings support continuation of work from home policies (to reduce public transport use) and strategies that mitigate the risk associated with re-opening of social venues.
DOI: 10.5694/mja2.50845
PubMed: 33207390
PubMed Central: PMC7753668
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.</title><author><name sortKey="Scott, Nick" sort="Scott, Nick" uniqKey="Scott N" first="Nick" last="Scott">Nick Scott</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palmer, Anna" sort="Palmer, Anna" uniqKey="Palmer A" first="Anna" last="Palmer">Anna Palmer</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Delport, Dominic" sort="Delport, Dominic" uniqKey="Delport D" first="Dominic" last="Delport">Dominic Delport</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Abeysuriya, Romesh" sort="Abeysuriya, Romesh" uniqKey="Abeysuriya R" first="Romesh" last="Abeysuriya">Romesh Abeysuriya</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stuart, Robyn M" sort="Stuart, Robyn M" uniqKey="Stuart R" first="Robyn M" last="Stuart">Robyn M. Stuart</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Copenhague</settlement><region type="région" nuts="2">Hovedstaden</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kerr, Cliff C" sort="Kerr, Cliff C" uniqKey="Kerr C" first="Cliff C" last="Kerr">Cliff C. Kerr</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mistry, Dina" sort="Mistry, Dina" uniqKey="Mistry D" first="Dina" last="Mistry">Dina Mistry</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Klein, Daniel J" sort="Klein, Daniel J" uniqKey="Klein D" first="Daniel J" last="Klein">Daniel J. Klein</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sacks Davis, Rachel" sort="Sacks Davis, Rachel" uniqKey="Sacks Davis R" first="Rachel" last="Sacks-Davis">Rachel Sacks-Davis</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Heath, Katie" sort="Heath, Katie" uniqKey="Heath K" first="Katie" last="Heath">Katie Heath</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hainsworth, Samuel W" sort="Hainsworth, Samuel W" uniqKey="Hainsworth S" first="Samuel W" last="Hainsworth">Samuel W. Hainsworth</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Pedrana, Alisa" sort="Pedrana, Alisa" uniqKey="Pedrana A" first="Alisa" last="Pedrana">Alisa Pedrana</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stoove, Mark" sort="Stoove, Mark" uniqKey="Stoove M" first="Mark" last="Stoove">Mark Stoove</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wilson, David" sort="Wilson, David" uniqKey="Wilson D" first="David" last="Wilson">David Wilson</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hellard, Margaret E" sort="Hellard, Margaret E" uniqKey="Hellard M" first="Margaret E" last="Hellard">Margaret E. Hellard</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2020">2020</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:33207390</idno><idno type="pmid">33207390</idno><idno type="doi">10.5694/mja2.50845</idno><idno type="pmc">PMC7753668</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000C31</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000C31</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000C31</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Curation">000C31</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000C31</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.</title><author><name sortKey="Scott, Nick" sort="Scott, Nick" uniqKey="Scott N" first="Nick" last="Scott">Nick Scott</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palmer, Anna" sort="Palmer, Anna" uniqKey="Palmer A" first="Anna" last="Palmer">Anna Palmer</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Delport, Dominic" sort="Delport, Dominic" uniqKey="Delport D" first="Dominic" last="Delport">Dominic Delport</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Abeysuriya, Romesh" sort="Abeysuriya, Romesh" uniqKey="Abeysuriya R" first="Romesh" last="Abeysuriya">Romesh Abeysuriya</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stuart, Robyn M" sort="Stuart, Robyn M" uniqKey="Stuart R" first="Robyn M" last="Stuart">Robyn M. Stuart</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Danemark</country><wicri:regionArea>University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Copenhague</settlement><region type="région" nuts="2">Hovedstaden</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kerr, Cliff C" sort="Kerr, Cliff C" uniqKey="Kerr C" first="Cliff C" last="Kerr">Cliff C. Kerr</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mistry, Dina" sort="Mistry, Dina" uniqKey="Mistry D" first="Dina" last="Mistry">Dina Mistry</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Klein, Daniel J" sort="Klein, Daniel J" uniqKey="Klein D" first="Daniel J" last="Klein">Daniel J. Klein</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Washington (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sacks Davis, Rachel" sort="Sacks Davis, Rachel" uniqKey="Sacks Davis R" first="Rachel" last="Sacks-Davis">Rachel Sacks-Davis</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Heath, Katie" sort="Heath, Katie" uniqKey="Heath K" first="Katie" last="Heath">Katie Heath</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hainsworth, Samuel W" sort="Hainsworth, Samuel W" uniqKey="Hainsworth S" first="Samuel W" last="Hainsworth">Samuel W. Hainsworth</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Pedrana, Alisa" sort="Pedrana, Alisa" uniqKey="Pedrana A" first="Alisa" last="Pedrana">Alisa Pedrana</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stoove, Mark" sort="Stoove, Mark" uniqKey="Stoove M" first="Mark" last="Stoove">Mark Stoove</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wilson, David" sort="Wilson, David" uniqKey="Wilson D" first="David" last="Wilson">David Wilson</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hellard, Margaret E" sort="Hellard, Margaret E" uniqKey="Hellard M" first="Margaret E" last="Hellard">Margaret E. Hellard</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</nlm:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">VIC</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The Medical journal of Australia</title><idno type="eISSN">1326-5377</idno><imprint><date when="2020" type="published">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>OBJECTIVES</b></p><p>To assess the risks associated with relaxing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related physical distancing restrictions and lockdown policies during a period of low viral transmission.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>DESIGN</b></p><p>Network-based viral transmission risks in households, schools, workplaces, and a variety of community spaces and activities were simulated in an agent-based model, Covasim.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>SETTING</b></p><p>The model was calibrated for a baseline scenario reflecting the epidemiological and policy environment in Victoria during March-May 2020, a period of low community viral transmission.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>INTERVENTION</b></p><p>Policy changes for easing COVID-19-related restrictions from May 2020 were simulated in the context of interventions that included testing, contact tracing (including with a smartphone app), and quarantine.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE</b></p><p>Increase in detected COVID-19 cases following relaxation of restrictions.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>RESULTS</b></p><p>Policy changes that facilitate contact of individuals with large numbers of unknown people (eg, opening bars, increased public transport use) were associated with the greatest risk of COVID-19 case numbers increasing; changes leading to smaller, structured gatherings with known contacts (eg, small social gatherings, opening schools) were associated with lower risks. In our model, the rise in case numbers following some policy changes was notable only two months after their implementation.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>CONCLUSIONS</b></p><p>Removing several COVID-19-related restrictions within a short period of time should be undertaken with care, as the consequences may not be apparent for more than two months. Our findings support continuation of work from home policies (to reduce public transport use) and strategies that mitigate the risk associated with re-opening of social venues.</p></div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="Publisher" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">33207390</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>23</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1326-5377</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>Nov</Month><Day>18</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>The Medical journal of Australia</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Med J Aust</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.</ArticleTitle><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.5694/mja2.50845</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="OBJECTIVES" NlmCategory="OBJECTIVE">To assess the risks associated with relaxing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related physical distancing restrictions and lockdown policies during a period of low viral transmission.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="DESIGN" NlmCategory="METHODS">Network-based viral transmission risks in households, schools, workplaces, and a variety of community spaces and activities were simulated in an agent-based model, Covasim.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="SETTING" NlmCategory="METHODS">The model was calibrated for a baseline scenario reflecting the epidemiological and policy environment in Victoria during March-May 2020, a period of low community viral transmission.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="INTERVENTION" NlmCategory="METHODS">Policy changes for easing COVID-19-related restrictions from May 2020 were simulated in the context of interventions that included testing, contact tracing (including with a smartphone app), and quarantine.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE" NlmCategory="METHODS">Increase in detected COVID-19 cases following relaxation of restrictions.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">Policy changes that facilitate contact of individuals with large numbers of unknown people (eg, opening bars, increased public transport use) were associated with the greatest risk of COVID-19 case numbers increasing; changes leading to smaller, structured gatherings with known contacts (eg, small social gatherings, opening schools) were associated with lower risks. In our model, the rise in case numbers following some policy changes was notable only two months after their implementation.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">Removing several COVID-19-related restrictions within a short period of time should be undertaken with care, as the consequences may not be apparent for more than two months. Our findings support continuation of work from home policies (to reduce public transport use) and strategies that mitigate the risk associated with re-opening of social venues.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>© 2020 The Authors. Medical Journal of Australia published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of AMPCo Pty Ltd.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Scott</LastName><ForeName>Nick</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Palmer</LastName><ForeName>Anna</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Delport</LastName><ForeName>Dominic</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Abeysuriya</LastName><ForeName>Romesh</ForeName><Initials>R</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Stuart</LastName><ForeName>Robyn M</ForeName><Initials>RM</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kerr</LastName><ForeName>Cliff C</ForeName><Initials>CC</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mistry</LastName><ForeName>Dina</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Klein</LastName><ForeName>Daniel J</ForeName><Initials>DJ</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA, United States of America.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Sacks-Davis</LastName><ForeName>Rachel</ForeName><Initials>R</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Heath</LastName><ForeName>Katie</ForeName><Initials>K</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hainsworth</LastName><ForeName>Samuel W</ForeName><Initials>SW</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pedrana</LastName><ForeName>Alisa</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Stoove</LastName><ForeName>Mark</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wilson</LastName><ForeName>David</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hellard</LastName><ForeName>Margaret E</ForeName><Initials>ME</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5055-3266</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2020</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>18</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Australia</Country><MedlineTA>Med J Aust</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>0400714</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0025-729X</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">COVID-19</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Infectious diseases</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Public policy</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Respiratory tract infections</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Theoretical models</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2020</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>26</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2020</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>01</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2020</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>18</Day><Hour>20</Hour><Minute>8</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2020</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>19</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2020</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>19</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>aheadofprint</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">33207390</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.5694/mja2.50845</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC7753668</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 Jun;20(6):678-688</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32213332</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Med J Aust. 2020 Jun;212(10):468-469</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32383153</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>J Travel Med. 2020 Aug 20;27(5):</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32453411</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Aust N Z J Public Health. 2020 Aug;44(4):257-259</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32697418</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Elife. 2020 Aug 13;9:</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32788039</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 Oct;20(10):1151-1160</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32559451</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList></PubmedData></pubmed><affiliations><list><country><li>Danemark</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Hovedstaden</li><li>Washington (État)</li></region><settlement><li>Copenhague</li></settlement></list><tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Abeysuriya, Romesh" sort="Abeysuriya, Romesh" uniqKey="Abeysuriya R" first="Romesh" last="Abeysuriya">Romesh Abeysuriya</name><name sortKey="Delport, Dominic" sort="Delport, Dominic" uniqKey="Delport D" first="Dominic" last="Delport">Dominic Delport</name><name sortKey="Hainsworth, Samuel W" sort="Hainsworth, Samuel W" uniqKey="Hainsworth S" first="Samuel W" last="Hainsworth">Samuel W. Hainsworth</name><name sortKey="Heath, Katie" sort="Heath, Katie" uniqKey="Heath K" first="Katie" last="Heath">Katie Heath</name><name sortKey="Hellard, Margaret E" sort="Hellard, Margaret E" uniqKey="Hellard M" first="Margaret E" last="Hellard">Margaret E. Hellard</name><name sortKey="Palmer, Anna" sort="Palmer, Anna" uniqKey="Palmer A" first="Anna" last="Palmer">Anna Palmer</name><name sortKey="Pedrana, Alisa" sort="Pedrana, Alisa" uniqKey="Pedrana A" first="Alisa" last="Pedrana">Alisa Pedrana</name><name sortKey="Sacks Davis, Rachel" sort="Sacks Davis, Rachel" uniqKey="Sacks Davis R" first="Rachel" last="Sacks-Davis">Rachel Sacks-Davis</name><name sortKey="Scott, Nick" sort="Scott, Nick" uniqKey="Scott N" first="Nick" last="Scott">Nick Scott</name><name sortKey="Stoove, Mark" sort="Stoove, Mark" uniqKey="Stoove M" first="Mark" last="Stoove">Mark Stoove</name><name sortKey="Wilson, David" sort="Wilson, David" uniqKey="Wilson D" first="David" last="Wilson">David Wilson</name></noCountry><country name="Danemark"><region name="Hovedstaden"><name sortKey="Stuart, Robyn M" sort="Stuart, Robyn M" uniqKey="Stuart R" first="Robyn M" last="Stuart">Robyn M. Stuart</name></region></country><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Washington (État)"><name sortKey="Kerr, Cliff C" sort="Kerr, Cliff C" uniqKey="Kerr C" first="Cliff C" last="Kerr">Cliff C. Kerr</name></region><name sortKey="Klein, Daniel J" sort="Klein, Daniel J" uniqKey="Klein D" first="Daniel J" last="Klein">Daniel J. Klein</name><name sortKey="Mistry, Dina" sort="Mistry, Dina" uniqKey="Mistry D" first="Dina" last="Mistry">Dina Mistry</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/LockdownV1/Data/Main/Exploration
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 001553 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd -nk 001553 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= LockdownV1
|flux= Main
|étape= Exploration
|type= RBID
|clé= pubmed:33207390
|texte= Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:33207390" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a LockdownV1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.38. |  |